BLOG.ELECTIANGILYEAT.COM


Ian Gilyeat - Independent

Subscribe


Recent Posts

  1. We need more risk takers...
    Friday, July 06, 2012
  2. This is not an endorsement...
    Sunday, June 17, 2012
  3. A heartfelt thanks...
    Sunday, June 10, 2012
  4. China, oil and the cost of gas...
    Saturday, March 17, 2012
  5. Disclosures from Bernanke at the Federal Reserve?
    Tuesday, March 13, 2012
  6. "I'm so happy that I didn't sneeze..."
    Monday, January 16, 2012
  7. Sound bites or serious problem solving?
    Monday, January 09, 2012
  8. Purple hearts and more...
    Friday, November 11, 2011
  9. What does a "fiscal hawk" look like in the Washington beltway?
    Saturday, November 05, 2011
  10. Big bank bailout? Or shareholders got rolled by Fannie Mae?
    Saturday, October 01, 2011

We need more risk takers...

Independence Day is the perfect day for celebrating the birth of our nation - and the American habit of risk taking...

You see, Benjamin Franklin, John Hancock , Robert Morris and other signers of the Declaration of Independence were all risk takers.  Everyone of them, all 56 men, took a huge risk and put themselves in harms way by signing this great document.  They also opened the doors to opportunity for a nation of immigrants...

This is an American habit.  We take risks in order to open doors of opportunity.  Consider a few of the more famous:  Sergey Brin, Elon Musk, Carlos Santana, Albert Einstein, I.M. Pei, Hakeem Olajuwon, Frederick Pulitzer, Martina Navratilova and many, many more.

These people took risks by coming to America and created opportunities for themselves and others in education, sports, architecture, music, technology and more.

My own ancestors came in the early 1600's (my mother's line) and in the mid-1800's) my dad's  line.  None of them, at least to my knowledge, were famous, rich or educated in the best schools.  They didn't come here because they were recruited by Universities or by corporate headhunters.  They were carpenters, laborers and farmers.  They just wanted an opportunity to start a new life in a new country.  They wanted freedom.. to pursue life according to their own abilities and ambitions. 

They took the risk... and created a life time of opportunity for generations to come - and I for one am grateful that they did.

This year and every year, we need to remember that we are a nation of risk takers - a nation of immigrants.  Our country is a great country because of every individual who has taken the risk to come here - and open the door of opportunity for future generations.

www.iangilyeat.com

This is not an endorsement...

The headline says it, but let me say it again - this is not an endorsement...

However, perhaps it will be helpful in making your decision about who to vote for in the Presidential election.

Read this story on Bain Capital from the Wall Street Journal - and yes, it tells us something about Mitt Romney.

Mr. Romney understands the nature of risk and reward in finances.... and this is important.  He plays the game to win.  Oh, and by the way, he's pretty good at it.  In fact, really good by the the standards of "ordinary Americans."

Take a look and ask yourself if you want someone in the White House who has demonstrated he's really good at business...

www.iangilyeat.com


A heartfelt thanks...

If you've been following the race for the U.S. Senate, you know that the deadline for submitting petitions to qualify for the ballot was May 30th.  In spite of the hard work of many volunteers, all across the state, we did not obtain the required number of signatures.  The amount necessary was 31,210.  As a result, after much conversation and consideration, I am withdrawing my name as a candidate.

Although the outcome is disappointing, I want to give my deepest thanks to those that have supported me.  This is a great country and it will continue to shine forth, as a standard of liberty across the globe, because of individual people like you.  It is widely known that America is one of the most generous nations on earth.  This has been my experience as well... while running for public office; loyal and hard working Americans have been generous with their time, their talents, enthusiasm and resources.  It is humbling and remarkable how many have been willing to stand with me, even against the popular pressure of parties and friends. 

I hope each of us will carry this spirit of sacrifice and service forward through the remainder of this election cycle - and into many more in the future.  I hope we will each study out the candidates and choose one that is deeply grounded in the Constitution - someone who comes from the private sector and understands and loves the principles of limited government - even those principles that defend our property, our lives and our individual freedoms. 

We need to send the career politicians home. along with their attitude that government can solve our problems.   We need to find individuals who will protect our ability to succeed or fail on our own merits.  We need individual liberty to fulfill our destiny as a nation.  We need to fire the people that have been in Washington, making a career of meddling in people's lives.  I hope we will all work to elect honest men and women who care most deeply about these self-evident truths.

Warmest wishes,

Ian Gilyeat

P.S. With one million+ registered voters in Arizona that are outside of the traditional parties, this means that one in three registered voters are "Independent."  This is what I call the "great unraveling" of the two-party system in America.  Simply put - registered voters are abandoning the parties.  Please join me and work on your elected officials to eliminate the barriers they have erected to prevent independent citizens from running for public office.  Ask them to change the signature requirement for "independents" so they too only have to gather 1/2 of 1% instead of the 3% that is now required.  Also, ask them eliminate the 1 cent per record fee that "independents" must pay to access voter registration rolls versus no cost for party candidates.  If we expect the political process to engage all voters then we must knock down the barriers the "privileged class" have erected to protect their privileged life styles.

China, oil and the cost of gas...

Steve Forbes states that too much money drives up the price of hard assets - especially oil.  There's also the opinion out there that adding the pipeline from Canada to the Gulf will bring a million new barrels of oil per day to the U.S. market.  That's a nice sum.

IF these two statement are correct (they need to be fact checked) then the current high prices of gas are self inflicted by our own Federal government...

Our own U.S. Treasury is printing lots of cheap money and our own Federal government has blocked approval of the pipeline...

Speaking of too much currency... leading economists and business periodicals have noted that China is reducing their dependence on the U.S. dollar.  Although their latest report showed an increase of 7% in total dollars held - the percentage of their total reserves is under 55%.  That means China is holding 45% of their financial reserves in a currency other than the dollar...

This shouldn't surprise anyone.  The U.S. Treasury announced they were intentionally devaluing the dollar by 20%.  What investor (China) in their right mind would invest in an asset that is designed to drop in value by 20%?

If we want the price of gas to drop and China to strengthen the U.S. dollar as the defacto global standard - we should tighten the supply of money, approve the pipeline and stop printing so many cheap paper dollars.

www.iangilyeat.com



Disclosures from Bernanke at the Federal Reserve?

Federal Reserve Chairman  Bernanke, could face a subpoena from lawyers, representing shareholders of Bank of America; shareholders who want to hear what the chairman said to Ken Lewis, then CEO of Bank of America, prior to the acquisition of Merrill Lynch by BofA. 

Although it's uncommon for a top regulator to be questioned in a civil lawsuit, this is an opportunity to add some visibility and accountability to the Federal Reserve.  Given the very high profile nature of the conversation, the financial turmoil at the time and the subsequent $20 billion in aid given to Bank of America just before their $19.4 billion acquisition of Merrill Lynch, it seems appropriate and natural for shareholders to want clarity on the machinations of the deal.

Increased disclosures at the Federal Reserve would be a good thing overall - their portfolio is massive - and the bank holds enormous sway on global markets.  This particular conversation or series of conversations between Mr. Bernanke and Mr. Lewis may become one more catalyst to holding the Federal Reserve accountable and bring about greater transparency.  Let's hope so.

www.iangilyeat.com

"I'm so happy that I didn't sneeze..."

For those of you familiar with Dr. Martin Luther King's last speech in Memphis, Tennessee, this may be a familiar quote.  If you've only listened to the last 60 seconds, and this quote is unfamiliar, listen to the whole speech.  It's worth seeing the calm, resolute determination of the man - and you'll discover why Dr. King said, "I'm so happy that I didn't sneeze."

Dr. King left an indelible impression on the American people.  It is noteworthy, in this speech, frequently known as the "I've been to the mountain top," speech that Dr. King refers to one of the earliest documents of our nation, the Bill of Rights.  He makes mention of the right to peaceably assemble, the freedom of the press, the freedom of speech and the right to petition the government for redress of grievances, or as Dr. King puts it, "the right to protest for rights."

Dr. King was familiar with the Bill of Rights.  He knew what it meant to participate in non-violent activism.

Today - as we celebrate Martin Luther King Day, we should read the Bill of Rights and then remember the Preamble to the Constitution:

"We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility...do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America."

Dr. King had it right.  We have a right to peaceably assemble.  We have a right to petition the government for redress of grievances.  We have a right to freedom of speech.  May we do so in order to form a more perfect Union and to insure domestic Tranquility.

www.iangilyeat.com

Sound bites or serious problem solving?

On the cover of Jan 16th issue of Time magazine is a picture of Mitt Romney with the question, "So You Like Me Now? 


This is in contrast to the one a few weeks ago title, "Why Don't they Like Me?

Today while reading a string of comments on the wall of a friend on Facebook, a simple, "Huntsman bugs me" was followed by more than 20 comments from several individuals wondering why the question about contraception was even asked.

The Time cover magazines and the question about contraception happen because of one reason - the need to drive revenue. 

Remember - the role of media is to drive revenue.  The job of the interviewers is to ask provocative questions in order to create news - something they can use in the media to create more stories, interest and ratings increases.

I used to be in the magazine business.  I was responsible for selling more magazines off the newsstand.  This is what the Time Magazine covers are all about - selling magazines.

It's no different in TV.  Advertisers are paying for viewers.  The role of the producer is to make the show interesting in order to pull in more ad dollars for the next show.

If you want serious problem solving on national issues - you're not going to find it on TV.  It simply doesn't happen that way.  The debate is a staged show so advertisers can sell something.

For the politicians - think of it in terms of reality TV.  It's an opportunity to build their name recognition; an opportunity to build their brand in order to sell their persona to the voting public.  It's their chance to deliver a memorable sound bite...

Serious problem solving takes lots of work - and it happens slowly.  It takes time...and who wants to watch that?

www.iangilyeat.com

Purple hearts and more...

Recently I spent time with multiple veterans.  One in particular received two purple hearts and a silver star.  He shared stories of battle, family and the aftereffects of surviving enemy fire.  We spoke of family, this nation and what it means to fulfill a duty to our nation.  We spoke of those who fled the country insead of taking that oath to defend the United States and its Constitution.  

Words cannot describe the gratitude we have for those that have served and continue to serve.  All of us are better people because of their service to this nation and others around the globe.

What does a "fiscal hawk" look like in the Washington beltway?

Not very good if you ask me...but remember the Washington beltway is a place where trillions in spending distorts the thinking of otherwise good men and women.  It is a place where career politicians no longer see their own spending decisions as part of the problem.  It is a place where representatives borrow 40 cents of every dollar they spend while the media crows about them being a "fiscal hawk".  It is a place where you can increase your personal staff expenses by 61% over the last ten years and still be called a "fiscal hawk" (www.legistorm.com).

In a time when the rhetoric of politicians in Washington have been screaming about the national debt, deficit spending and the downgrade of the "good faith and credit of the United States," I think it's useful to see if the rhetoric matches up with their own fiscal habits in Washington.  Here's the short version:

  • Our two Senators spend $2.4 million annually each on themselves and their staff. 

  • In 2010 the typical AZ Republican Congressman spent $1.087 million and...

  • In 2010 the typical Democratic Congressman spent $983 thousand.

Yes, you read that right, in 2010 our Democratic representatives (Grijalva, Pastor, Kirkpatrick, Giffords, Mitchell) spent LESS on average on staff budgets than their Republican peers (Flake, Franks, Shadegg).  Even looking over the last ten years, the story doesn't change - Republican representatives from Arizona on average spent more than their Democratic peers on themselves and staff.   

  • Over the past ten years, two of the best known "fiscal hawks" in Arizona have increased their staff spending by 67% and 61% respectively...

So what is a "fiscal hawk" in Washington?  You can draw your own conclusion, but for me, increasing your staff expense by 61% or 67% over the ten years; especially during this Great Recession - fails the smell test...and it doesn't matter which party you're in - neither one cuts real espenses - and the longer they stay - the more they spend. (www.legistorm.com)

It's rotten to the core - and every career politician that does this should be sent packing and told to go home and get a real job.

Click hereto see full details at www.legistorm.com.  Don't take my word for it.  Do your own homework... I promise it's an eye opener. 

www.iangilyeat.com

Big bank bailout? Or shareholders got rolled by Fannie Mae?

Bank of America has $2.2 trillion in assets and $900 billion in net loans.  They sold $73 billion in mortgage loans to the Federal government (better known as Fannie Mae) for a paltry $500 million. The loan loss ratio on this portfolio of loans is 13% - about double the national average.  This makes no sense for investors of Bank of America (disclosure - I own a few shares) but... Representative Issa of California is investigating this as a "bailout". 

Let me say it a different way...Fannie Mae bought $73 billion in assets for less than 1 cent on the dollar and this is being challenged as bailout...even with a loss of 13% or $9.49B it's still less than 1 cent on the dollar.

This isn't a bailout this is a crying shame for shareholders who, from my view just got rolled by Fannie Mae.

By the way, $73B is less than 10% of Bank of America's net loan portfolio... and at $500 million, it's not going to make much difference in their capital requirements.  It's a drop in the bucket...

So here's the principles this ignores for me:

1)  Bank of America is a private company - yes, there are millions of shareholders trading their ownership in a public market - but from the perspective of property ownership - it is private - or at least it should be.

2)  The Federal government should not be in the business of servicing loans -or guaranteeing them for that matter.  Home ownership may be the American dream but it is not guaranteed for every citizen.  Property ownership is something we aspire to - it shouldn't be guaranteed by a government agency.

Instead of increasing its holdings in mortgage loans, Fannie should be decreasing its position.  This is the time when private enterprise with capital to invest can step forward and take a risk with their own money.  This is what the free market is all about - risk and reward - and in this instance the rewards of originating these loans has been disconnected from the risk.  Overall the long-haul this is the wrong precedent for the mortgage industry, the Federal government and the American home owner.

www.iangilyeat.com